📚Research

Articles:

Vasconcelos, V. V., Raischel, F., Haase, M., Peinke, J., Wächter, M., Lind, P. G., & Kleinhans, D. (2011). Principal axes for stochastic dynamics. Physical Review E, 84(3), 031103.  

Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. P., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2017). Stochastic dynamics through hierarchically embedded Markov chains. Physical Review Letters, 118(5), 058301. 

Crielaard, L., Quax, R., Sawyer, A. D., Vasconcelos, V. V., Nicolaou, M., Stronks, K., & Sloot, P. M. (2023). Using network analysis to identify leverage points based on causal loop diagrams leads to false inference. Scientific reports, 13(1), 21046.

Vasconcelos, V. V., Marquitti, F., Ong, T., McManus, L. C., Aguiar, M., Campos, A. B., ... & Zhan, Q. (2023). Rate-Induced Transitions in Networked Complex Adaptive Systems: Exploring Dynamics and Management Implications Across Ecological, Social, and Socioecological Systems. arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.07449.

Articles:

Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2015). Cooperation dynamics of polycentric climate governance. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 25(13), 2503-2517. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Hannam, P. M., Levin, S. A., & Pacheco, J. M. (2020). Coalition-structured governance improves cooperation to provide public goods. Scientific reports, 10(1), 9194. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2013). A bottom-up institutional approach to cooperative governance of risky commons. Nature Climate Change, 3(9), 797-801. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., Pacheco, J. M., & Levin, S. A. (2014). Climate policies under wealth inequality. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(6), 2212-2216. 

Karatayev, V. A., Vasconcelos, V. V., Lafuite, A. S., Levin, S. A., Bauch, C. T., & Anand, M. (2021). A well-timed shift from local to global agreements accelerates climate change mitigation. Nature communications, 12(1), 2908. 

Sun, W., Liu, L., Chen, X., Szolnoki, A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2021). Combination of institutional incentives for cooperative governance of risky commons. Iscience, 24(8). 

Hannam, P. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Pacheco, J. M. (2017). Incomplete cooperation and co-benefits: deepening climate cooperation with a proliferation of small agreements. Climatic Change, 144, 65-79. 

Santos, F. C., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, M. D., Neves, P. N. B., & Pacheco, J. M. (2012). Evolutionary dynamics of climate change under collective-risk dilemmas. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 22(supp01), 1140004. 

Pacheco, J. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Santos, F. C. (2014). Climate change governance, cooperation and self-organization. Physics of Life Reviews, 11(4), 573-586.

Conference proceedings & abstracts:

Santos, F. C., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, M. D., Neves, P. N. B., & Pacheco, J. M. (2012). Evolutionary dynamics of climate change under collective-risk dilemmas. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 22(supp01), 1140004. 

Commentary:

Pacheco, J. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Santos, F. C. (2014). Climate governance as a complex adaptive system Reply to comments on “Climate change governance, cooperation and self-organization”. Physics of Life Reviews, 11(4), 595-597. 

Articles:

Vasconcelos, V. V., Dannenberg, A., & Levin, S. A. (2022). Punishment institutions selected and sustained through voting and learning. Nature Sustainability, 5(7), 578-585. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2013). A bottom-up institutional approach to cooperative governance of risky commons. Nature Climate Change, 3(9), 797-801. 

 Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2015). Cooperation dynamics of polycentric climate governance. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 25(13), 2503-2517. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Hannam, P. M., Levin, S. A., & Pacheco, J. M. (2020). Coalition-structured governance improves cooperation to provide public goods. Scientific reports, 10(1), 9194. 

Karatayev, V. A., Vasconcelos, V. V., Lafuite, A. S., Levin, S. A., Bauch, C. T., & Anand, M. (2021). A well-timed shift from local to global agreements accelerates climate change mitigation. Nature communications, 12(1), 2908. 

Sun, W., Liu, L., Chen, X., Szolnoki, A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2021). Combination of institutional incentives for cooperative governance of risky commons. Iscience, 24(8). 

Wang, S., Chen, X., Xiao, Z., Szolnoki, A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2023). Optimization of institutional incentives for cooperation in structured populations. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 20(199), 20220653. 

Conference proceedings & abstracts:

Liao, W., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Hedin, L. O. (2018, August). Central food bank: A possible path to ensure food security and reduce global nitrogen pollution under future climatic risk. In 2018 ESA Annual Meeting (August 5--10). ESA. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Dannenberg, A., & Levin, S. A. (2019, August). The endogenous origin of institutions: Scale, information spreading, and learning about the past to sustain cooperation. In 2019 ESA Annual Meeting (August 11--16). ESA. 

Articles:

Borges, H. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Pinheiro, F. L. (2024).  How social rewiring preferences bridge polarized communities. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Volume 180  (114594). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2024.114594

Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2019). Consensus and polarization in competing complex contagion processes. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 16(155), 20190196. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Constantino, S. M., Dannenberg, A., Lumkowsky, M., Weber, E., & Levin, S. (2021). Segregation and clustering of preferences erode socially beneficial coordination. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(50), e2102153118. 

Borges, H. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2023). How Social Rewiring Preferences Bridge Polarized Communities. arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.08088.

Conference proceedings & abstracts:

Geller, M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2023, June). Toxicity in Evolving Twitter Topics. In International Conference on Computational Science (pp. 40-54). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland. 

Articles:

Yang, L., Constantino, S. M., Grenfell, B. T., Weber, E. U., Levin, S. A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2022). Sociocultural determinants of global mask-wearing behavior. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(41), e2213525119. 

Qiu, Z., Espinoza, B., Vasconcelos, V. V., Chen, C., Constantino, S. M., Crabtree, S. A., ... & Marathe, M. V. (2022). Understanding the coevolution of mask wearing and epidemics: A network perspective. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(26), e2123355119. 

Santos, F. P., Levin, S. A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2021). Biased perceptions explain collective action deadlocks and suggest new mechanisms to prompt cooperation. Iscience, 24(4). 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2019). Consensus and polarization in competing complex contagion processes. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 16(155), 20190196. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Constantino, S. M., Dannenberg, A., Lumkowsky, M., Weber, E., & Levin, S. (2021). Segregation and clustering of preferences erode socially beneficial coordination. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(50), e2102153118. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Marquitti, F., Ong, T., McManus, L. C., Aguiar, M., Campos, A. B., ... & Zhan, Q. (2023). Rate-Induced Transitions in Networked Complex Adaptive Systems: Exploring Dynamics and Management Implications Across Ecological, Social, and Socioecological Systems. arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.07449.

Borges, H. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2023). How Social Rewiring Preferences Bridge Polarized Communities. arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.08088. 

Conference proceedings & abstracts:

Geller, M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2023, June). Toxicity in Evolving Twitter Topics. In International Conference on Computational Science (pp. 40-54). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland. 

Commentary:

Vasconcelos, V., & Santos, F. (2021). Biased perceptions explain collective action deadlocks and suggest new mechanisms to prompt cooperation. Authors Vítor Vasconcelos and Fernando Santos on the article. IAS Review, 2(2.2). 

Articles:

Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Vasconcelos, V. V., Kurths, J., & Levin, S. A. (2020). Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(23), 12915-12922. 

Zhou, L., Wu, B., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Wang, L. (2018). Simple property of heterogeneous aspiration dynamics: beyond weak selection. Physical Review E, 98(6), 062124. 

Pinheiro, F. L., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2014). Evolution of all-or-none strategies in repeated public goods dilemmas. PLoS computational biology, 10(11), e1003945. 

Pacheco, J. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Skyrms, B. (2015). Co-evolutionary dynamics of collective action with signaling for a quorum. PLoS computational biology, 11(2), e1004101.

Conference proceedings & abstracts:

Pinheiro, F., Vasconcelos, V., Santos, F., & Pacheco, J. (2013, September). Self-organized game dynamics in complex networks. In Artificial Life Conference Proceedings (pp. 61-62). One Rogers Street, Cambridge, MA 02142-1209, USA journals-info@ mit. edu: MIT Press. 

Zhou, L., Wu, B., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Wang, L. (2018, May). Evolutionary Game Dynamics Driven by Heterogeneous Self-learning Rules. In 2018 IEEE 7th Data Driven Control and Learning Systems Conference (DDCLS) (pp. 825-829). IEEE. 

Chu, O., Vasconcelos, V., & Tarnita, C. (2019). Evolutionary Dynamics in a Group Population Structure with Barriers to Group Entry. In APS March Meeting Abstracts (Vol. 2019, pp. B63-008). 

Chu, O. J., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Tarnita, C. E. The role of loners in the evolution of cooperation in group-structured populations. In 2022 Virtual Joint Mathematics Meetings (JMM 2022). AMS. 

Articles:

Tilman, A. R., Vasconcelos, V. V., Akçay, E., & Plotkin, J. B. (2023). The evolution of forecasting for decision-making in dynamic environments. Collective Intelligence, 2(4), 26339137231221726.

Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Vasconcelos, V. V., Kurths, J., & Levin, S. A. (2020). Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(23), 12915-12922. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Marquitti, F., Ong, T., McManus, L. C., Aguiar, M., Campos, A. B., ... & Zhan, Q. (2023). Rate-Induced Transitions in Networked Complex Adaptive Systems: Exploring Dynamics and Management Implications Across Ecological, Social, and Socioecological Systems. arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.07449.

Conference Proceedings & abstracts:

Liao, W., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Hedin, L. O. (2018, August). Central food bank: A possible path to ensure food security and reduce global nitrogen pollution under future climatic risk. In 2018 ESA Annual Meeting (August 5--10). ESA. 

Articles:

Terpstra, S., Marquitti, F. M., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2024). Adaptive foraging of pollinators fosters gradual tipping under resource competition and rapid environmental change. PLOS Computational Biology, 20(1), e1011762.

McManus, L. C., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., Thompson, D. M., Kleypas, J. A., Castruccio, F. S., ... & Watson, J. R. (2020). Extreme temperature events will drive coral decline in the Coral Triangle. Global Change Biology, 26(4), 2120-2133. 

McManus, L. C., Watson, J. R., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Levin, S. A. (2019). Stability and recovery of coral-algae systems: the importance of recruitment seasonality and grazing influence. Theoretical Ecology, 12, 61-72. 

Vasconcelos, V. V., Marquitti, F., Ong, T., McManus, L. C., Aguiar, M., Campos, A. B., ... & Zhan, Q. (2023). Rate-Induced Transitions in Networked Complex Adaptive Systems: Exploring Dynamics and Management Implications Across Ecological, Social, and Socioecological Systems. arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.07449. 

Pacheco, J. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Skyrms, B. (2015). Co-evolutionary dynamics of collective action with signaling for a quorum. PLoS computational biology, 11(2), e1004101. 

Conference proceedings & abstracts:

McManus, L. C., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. P., Levin, S., Thompson, D. M., Kleypas, J. A., ... & Watson, J. R. (2018, February). Ecological implications of thermal stress and larval connectivity in the Coral Triangle. In 2018 Ocean Sciences Meeting. AGU.