Pinheiro, F.L., & Vasconcelos, V.V. (2025). Heterogeneous update processes shape information cascades in social networks. Scientific Reports, 15, 13999.
Crielaard, L., Quax, R., Sawyer, A. D., Vasconcelos, V. V., Nicolaou, M., Stronks, K., & Sloot, P. M. (2023). Using network analysis to identify leverage points based on causal loop diagrams leads to false inference. Scientific reports, 13(1), 21046.
Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. P., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2017). Stochastic dynamics through hierarchically embedded Markov chains. Physical Review Letters, 118(5), 058301.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Raischel, F., Haase, M., Peinke, J., WƤchter, M., Lind, P. G., & Kleinhans, D. (2011). Principal axes for stochastic dynamics. Physical Review E, 84(3), 031103. Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Marquitti, F., Ong, T., McManus, L. C., Aguiar, M., Campos, A. B., ... & Zhan, Q. (2023). Rate-Induced Transitions in Networked Complex Adaptive Systems: Exploring Dynamics and Management Implications Across Ecological, Social, and Socioecological Systems. arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.07449.
Maglicic, M., & Vasconcelos, V.V. (2025). Income inequality in the uptake of environmentally friendly products. IScience, 28, 4112277.
ChĆ¢tel, B.D.L., Quax, R., Peeters, G., Corten, R., Olde Rikkert, M.G.M., & Vasconcelos, V.V. (2025). Homophily and social influence as mechanisms of loneliness clustering in social networks. Scientific Reports, 15, 15576.
Mittal, D., Constantino, S. M., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2024). Anti-conformists catalyze societal transitions and facilitate the expression of evolving preferences. PNAS Nexus, pgae302.Ā
van Elteren, C., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Lees, M. (2024). Criminal organizations exhibit hysteresis, resilience, and robustness by balancing security and efficiency. Scientific Reports, 14(1), 17678.Ā
Borges, H. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Pinheiro, F. L. (2024).Ā How social rewiring preferences bridge polarized communities. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Volume 180Ā (114594). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2024.114594
Yang, L., Constantino, S. M., Grenfell, B. T., Weber, E. U., Levin, S. A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2022). Sociocultural determinants of global mask-wearing behavior. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(41), e2213525119.Ā
Qiu, Z., Espinoza, B., Vasconcelos, V. V., Chen, C., Constantino, S. M., Crabtree, S. A., ... & Marathe, M. V. (2022). Understanding the coevolution of mask wearing and epidemics: A network perspective. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(26), e2123355119.Ā
Santos, F. P., Levin, S. A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2021). Biased perceptions explain collective action deadlocks and suggest new mechanisms to prompt cooperation. Iscience, 24(4).Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2019). Consensus and polarization in competing complex contagion processes. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 16(155), 20190196.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Constantino, S. M., Dannenberg, A., Lumkowsky, M., Weber, E., & Levin, S. (2021). Segregation and clustering of preferences erode socially beneficial coordination. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(50), e2102153118.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Marquitti, F., Ong, T., McManus, L. C., Aguiar, M., Campos, A. B., ... & Zhan, Q. (2023). Rate-Induced Transitions in Networked Complex Adaptive Systems: Exploring Dynamics and Management Implications Across Ecological, Social, and Socioecological Systems. arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.07449.
Geller, M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2023, June). Toxicity in Evolving Twitter Topics. In International Conference on Computational Science (pp. 40-54). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland.Ā
Vasconcelos, V., & Santos, F. (2021). Biased perceptions explain collective action deadlocks and suggest new mechanisms to prompt cooperation. Authors VĆtor Vasconcelos and Fernando Santos on the article. IAS Review, 2(2.2).Ā
Hadjisotiriou, S., Oreel, T.H., Marchau, V.A.W.J., Korzilius, H.P.L.M., Coenen, J., Nespeca, V., Rouwette, E.A.J.A., Vasconcelos, V.V., Quax, R., Wertheim, H.F.L., & Olde Rikkert, M.G.M. (2025). Pandemic Performance Measures of Resilience for Healthcare and Education in the Netherlands. Int J Health Plann Mgmt. https://doi.org/10.1002/hpm.3943
Nespeca, V., Quax, R., Rikkert, M. G., Korzilius, H. P., Marchau, V. A., Hadijsotiriou, S., ... & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2024). Towards participatory multi-modeling for policy support across domains and scales: a systematic procedure for integral multi-model design. arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.06228.
Tilman, A. R., Vasconcelos, V. V., AkƧay, E., & Plotkin, J. B. (2023). The evolution of forecasting for decision-making in dynamic environments. Collective Intelligence, 2(4), 26339137231221726.
Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Vasconcelos, V. V., Kurths, J., & Levin, S. A. (2020). Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(23), 12915-12922.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Marquitti, F., Ong, T., McManus, L. C., Aguiar, M., Campos, A. B., ... & Zhan, Q. (2023). Rate-Induced Transitions in Networked Complex Adaptive Systems: Exploring Dynamics and Management Implications Across Ecological, Social, and Socioecological Systems. arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.07449.
Liao, W., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Hedin, L. O. (2018, August). Central food bank: A possible path to ensure food security and reduce global nitrogen pollution under future climatic risk. In 2018 ESA Annual Meeting (August 5--10). ESA.Ā
Hadjisotiriou, S., Oreel, T.H., Marchau, V.A.W.J., Korzilius, H.P.L.M., Coenen, J., Nespeca, V., Rouwette, E.A.J.A., Vasconcelos, V.V., Quax, R., Wertheim, H.F.L., & Olde Rikkert, M.G.M. (2025). Pandemic Performance Measures of Resilience for Healthcare and Education in the Netherlands. Int J Health Plann Mgmt. https://doi.org/10.1002/hpm.3943
Liao, W., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Oppenheimer, M. (2024). Cooperative food bank: a collective insurance regime to govern food insecurity and nitrogen pollution under risk. Environmental Research Letters, 19(8), 084057.
Wang, S., Chen, X., Xiao, Z., Szolnoki, A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2023). Optimization of institutional incentives for cooperation in structured populations. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 20(199), 20220653.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Dannenberg, A., & Levin, S. A. (2022). Punishment institutions selected and sustained through voting and learning. Nature Sustainability, 5(7), 578-585.Ā
Sun, W., Liu, L., Chen, X., Szolnoki, A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2021). Combination of institutional incentives for cooperative governance of risky commons. Iscience, 24(8).Ā
Karatayev, V. A., Vasconcelos, V. V., Lafuite, A. S., Levin, S. A., Bauch, C. T., & Anand, M. (2021). A well-timed shift from local to global agreements accelerates climate change mitigation. Nature communications, 12(1), 2908.Ā Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Hannam, P. M., Levin, S. A., & Pacheco, J. M. (2020). Coalition-structured governance improves cooperation to provide public goods. Scientific reports, 10(1), 9194.Ā
Ā Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2015). Cooperation dynamics of polycentric climate governance. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 25(13), 2503-2517.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2013). A bottom-up institutional approach to cooperative governance of risky commons. Nature Climate Change, 3(9), 797-801.]
Vasconcelos, V. V., Dannenberg, A., & Levin, S. A. (2019, August). The endogenous origin of institutions: Scale, information spreading, and learning about the past to sustain cooperation. In 2019 ESA Annual Meeting (August 11--16). ESA.Ā
Liao, W., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Hedin, L. O. (2018, August). Central food bank: A possible path to ensure food security and reduce global nitrogen pollution under future climatic risk. In 2018 ESA Annual Meeting (August 5--10). ESA.Ā
Pinheiro, F.L., & Vasconcelos, V.V. (2025). Heterogeneous update processes shape information cascades in social networks. Scientific Reports, 15, 13999.
Borges, H. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Pinheiro, F. L. (2024).Ā How social rewiring preferences bridge polarized communities. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Volume 180Ā (114594). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2024.114594
Vasconcelos, V. V., Constantino, S. M., Dannenberg, A., Lumkowsky, M., Weber, E., & Levin, S. (2021). Segregation and clustering of preferences erode socially beneficial coordination. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(50), e2102153118.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2019). Consensus and polarization in competing complex contagion processes. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 16(155), 20190196.Ā
Geller, M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Pinheiro, F. L. (2023, June). Toxicity in Evolving Twitter Topics. In International Conference on Computational Science (pp. 40-54). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland.Ā
Karatayev, V. A., Vasconcelos, V. V., Lafuite, A. S., Levin, S. A., Bauch, C. T., & Anand, M. (2021). A well-timed shift from local to global agreements accelerates climate change mitigation. Nature communications, 12(1), 2908.Ā
Sun, W., Liu, L., Chen, X., Szolnoki, A., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2021). Combination of institutional incentives for cooperative governance of risky commons. Iscience, 24(8).Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Hannam, P. M., Levin, S. A., & Pacheco, J. M. (2020). Coalition-structured governance improves cooperation to provide public goods. Scientific reports, 10(1), 9194.Ā
Hannam, P. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., & Pacheco, J. M. (2017). Incomplete cooperation and co-benefits: deepening climate cooperation with a proliferation of small agreements. Climatic Change, 144, 65-79.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2015). Cooperation dynamics of polycentric climate governance. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 25(13), 2503-2517.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., Pacheco, J. M., & Levin, S. A. (2014). Climate policies under wealth inequality. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(6), 2212-2216.Ā
Pacheco, J. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Santos, F. C. (2014). Climate change governance, cooperation and self-organization. Physics of Life Reviews, 11(4), 573-586.
Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2013). A bottom-up institutional approach to cooperative governance of risky commons. Nature Climate Change, 3(9), 797-801.Ā
Santos, F. C., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, M. D., Neves, P. N. B., & Pacheco, J. M. (2012). Evolutionary dynamics of climate change under collective-risk dilemmas. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 22(supp01), 1140004.Ā
Santos, F. C., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, M. D., Neves, P. N. B., & Pacheco, J. M. (2012). Evolutionary dynamics of climate change under collective-risk dilemmas. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 22(supp01), 1140004.Ā
Pacheco, J. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Santos, F. C. (2014). Climate governance as a complex adaptive system Reply to comments on āClimate change governance, cooperation and self-organizationā. Physics of Life Reviews, 11(4), 595-597.Ā
Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Vasconcelos, V. V., Kurths, J., & Levin, S. A. (2020). Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(23), 12915-12922.Ā
Zhou, L., Wu, B., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Wang, L. (2018). Simple property of heterogeneous aspiration dynamics: beyond weak selection. Physical Review E, 98(6), 062124.Ā
Pacheco, J. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Skyrms, B. (2015). Co-evolutionary dynamics of collective action with signaling for a quorum. PLoS computational biology, 11(2), e1004101.
Pinheiro, F. L., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Pacheco, J. M. (2014). Evolution of all-or-none strategies in repeated public goods dilemmas. PLoS computational biology, 10(11), e1003945.Ā
Chu, O. J., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Tarnita, C. E. The role of loners in the evolution of cooperation in group-structured populations. In 2022 Virtual Joint Mathematics Meetings (JMM 2022). AMS.Ā
Chu, O., Vasconcelos, V., & Tarnita, C. (2019). Evolutionary Dynamics in a Group Population Structure with Barriers to Group Entry. In APS March Meeting Abstracts (Vol. 2019, pp. B63-008).Ā
Zhou, L., Wu, B., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Wang, L. (2018, May). Evolutionary Game Dynamics Driven by Heterogeneous Self-learning Rules. In 2018 IEEE 7th Data Driven Control and Learning Systems Conference (DDCLS) (pp. 825-829). IEEE.Ā
Pinheiro, F., Vasconcelos, V., Santos, F., & Pacheco, J. (2013, September). Self-organized game dynamics in complex networks. In Artificial Life Conference Proceedings (pp. 61-62). One Rogers Street, Cambridge, MA 02142-1209, USA journals-info@ mit. edu: MIT Press.Ā
Ong, T.W., McManus, L.C., Vasconcelos, V.V., Yang, L., & Su, C. (2025). Seeing Halos: Spatial and Consumer-Resource Constraints to Landscapes of Fear. The American Naturalist. https://doi.org/10.1086/735688
Terpstra, S., Marquitti, F. M., & Vasconcelos, V. V. (2024). Adaptive foraging of pollinators fosters gradual tipping under resource competition and rapid environmental change. PLOS Computational Biology, 20(1), e1011762.
McManus, L. C., Vasconcelos, V. V., Levin, S. A., Thompson, D. M., Kleypas, J. A., Castruccio, F. S., ... & Watson, J. R. (2020). Extreme temperature events will drive coral decline in the Coral Triangle. Global Change Biology, 26(4), 2120-2133.Ā
McManus, L. C., Watson, J. R., Vasconcelos, V. V., & Levin, S. A. (2019). Stability and recovery of coral-algae systems: the importance of recruitment seasonality and grazing influence. Theoretical Ecology, 12, 61-72.Ā
Pacheco, J. M., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. C., & Skyrms, B. (2015). Co-evolutionary dynamics of collective action with signaling for a quorum. PLoS computational biology, 11(2), e1004101.Ā
Vasconcelos, V. V., Marquitti, F., Ong, T., McManus, L. C., Aguiar, M., Campos, A. B., ... & Zhan, Q. (2023). Rate-Induced Transitions in Networked Complex Adaptive Systems: Exploring Dynamics and Management Implications Across Ecological, Social, and Socioecological Systems. arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.07449.Ā
McManus, L. C., Vasconcelos, V. V., Santos, F. P., Levin, S., Thompson, D. M., Kleypas, J. A., ... & Watson, J. R. (2018, February). Ecological implications of thermal stress and larval connectivity in the Coral Triangle. In 2018 Ocean Sciences Meeting. AGU.Ā